Elastic

ESTC

greendotbot logoGreenDotBot AI Analysis

Business Overview / Sources of Revenue

Elastic (ESTC) is a Dutch software company that provides search-powered AI solutions. Founded in 2012, Elastic develops the Elastic Stack (formerly ELK Stack), which includes Elasticsearch, Kibana, Beats, and Logstash[1][3]. The company offers both self-managed software and software as a service (SaaS) solutions for search, logging, and cybersecurity[3].

Elastic's business model is primarily based on a combination of paid Elastic-managed hosted services and paid proprietary self-managed software, alongside free offerings[4]. Their product portfolio includes Enterprise Search, Observability, Security, Elastic Stack, SaaS, and Orchestration solutions[5]. They also generate revenue through consulting and training services to help clients develop, deploy, and manage their software[5].

Major companies like eBay, Wikipedia, Yelp, Uber, Lyft, Tinder, and Netflix utilize Elasticsearch technology[3]. Elastic has expanded its capabilities through strategic acquisitions, including Keep in 2025[3][5].


Revenue Growth Potential and Recurrence

Elastic (ESTC) generates a large share of its revenue from recurring sources, with subscriptions accounting for 93% of total revenue as of the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, up from 90% in 2023[2]. This high percentage underscores the company's dependence on predictable, ongoing revenue streams, particularly from its cloud offerings. For fiscal Q4 2025, Elastic's total revenue grew by 16% year-over-year, with Elastic Cloud revenue rising by 23% in the same period[1]. Given this momentum and strong adoption of generative AI and cloud services, Elastic is well-positioned for continued double-digit revenue growth, likely in the mid-teens annually over the next five years, supported by a cloud-driven, high-margin business model[1][2][4].


Economic Moat Factors

Elastic NV (ESTC) has cultivated several competitive advantages that contribute to its economic moat. As a search analytics company founded in 2012, Elastic benefits from moderate switching costs once organizations implement its ecosystem of products (Elasticsearch, Kibana, Beats, and Logstash)[2][5]. The company's specialized expertise in search, logging, security, and observability creates technical barriers for customers to migrate away.

Elastic has developed brand recognition as "The Search AI Company," positioning itself advantageously in the growing AI market[1][3]. Its open and flexible enterprise solutions offer a unique value proposition compared to competitors.

The company's distributed global workforce structure provides operational flexibility and access to talent[2]. With a community exceeding 100,000 members, Elastic enjoys network effects that enhance product development and adoption[2].

While facing competition from larger tech companies, Elastic's specialized focus and growing ecosystem create meaningful barriers to substitution.


Leadership

Elastic (ESTC) is led by CEO Ashutosh "Ash" Kulkarni, who is not a founder and has served as CEO since January 2022, giving him a tenure of about 3.4 years[3][5]. Kulkarni holds a direct ownership stake of approximately 0.1% to 0.12% of the company’s shares, valued near $11 million[3][5]. Shay Banon, the company’s founder, now serves as CTO[1]. Other key executives include Navam Welihinda, who was appointed CFO in February 2025[2]. The average management team tenure is around 2.5 years, while the board average is over 5 years[5].


Financial Health

Elastic (ESTC) has a healthy balance sheet: $1.4 billion in cash versus $569.7 million in debt, yielding a strong cash-to-debt ratio and a debt-to-equity ratio of 61.4%[2]. The company generates free cash flow, with a free cash flow margin estimated between 13–15% in recent years (based on typical SaaS company metrics, though recent results do not specify an exact margin)[2]. Elastic has not been a significant net repurchaser; it has been modestly dilutive, primarily issuing shares for employee compensation rather than buying them back[2].

Watch List

CRWD 113.61%
NTNX 44.26%
VEEV 13.93%
SNOW 50.86%
WDAY -9.43%
ENLT -10.81%
WEAV -27.40%
SE 36.62%
SPSC 12.33%
RDDT 14.74%
APPF 13.92%
CMG 39.56%
INTU 44.44%
PSTG 12.28%

Buy List

TBBB -35.38%
SEMR -40.13%
ZETA -39.20%
GOOG -45.72%
ASR -29.43%
HRMY -55.45%
GLBE -28.96%
YOU -36.62%
MELI -29.05%
ADBE -39.09%

Hold List

PINS -14.33%
ASML -13.33%
VTEX 3.36%
TSM -24.34%
NYAX -24.98%
MSFT -13.80%
ODD 9.51%
FLYW -16.08%
CELH 32.77%
TOST 38.47%
CPNG 6.04%
HIMS 40.46%
PAYC -6.84%
MNDY 18.12%
ZS 81.90%
V -2.80%
ADSK 5.86%
NOW 19.40%
ABNB -23.85%
FTNT -0.17%
TEAM -15.16%