Fortinet, Inc

FTNT
FTNT logo

Statistics

$100.83Share Price
$101.00 Fair Value green dot
-0.17% Price vs Fair Value green dot
$78.3 BMarket Cap
20.1%3yr Avg Revenue Growth
12.6%Projected Sales Growth Next Year
95.3%Free Cash Flow ROIC
check markRising Revenues
check markRecurring Revenues
plus signHigh Switching Costs Moat

Stock Research and Updates

Research Article

Fortinet Is A Leader In A $200 Billion Market green dot

Updates

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Buying Fortinet green dot

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Business Overview / Sources of Revenue

Fortinet, Inc. (FTNT) is an American cybersecurity company headquartered in Sunnyvale, California, founded in 2000 by brothers Ken and Michael Xie[1][2]. The company develops and sells comprehensive security solutions including firewalls, endpoint security, and intrusion detection systems[1].

Fortinet generates revenue through two main sources: product sales and service offerings. In fiscal year 2024, the company's total revenue reached $5.76 billion[5]. Of this total, product revenue (security appliances and hardware) accounted for approximately $2.23 billion (39%), while service revenue (subscriptions, support, and professional services) contributed $3.53 billion (61%)[5].

The company's flagship product is FortiGate, a physical firewall that integrates advanced threat protection capabilities including intrusion prevention, application control, website filtering, and VPN functionality[1][2]. Fortinet serves businesses, enterprises, and government agencies worldwide with offices across the globe[1][2].


Revenue Growth Potential and Recurrence

Fortinet, Inc. (FTNT) has a substantial share of recurring revenue, with service revenue accounting for 61.3% of total revenue in the 2024 fiscal year[1]. This includes FortiGuard Security Services and FortiCare Support Services, which provide subscription-based security services and technical support respectively[1]. The company has been successfully transitioning toward a subscription-based model, creating more predictable revenue streams[1].

Regarding growth potential, Fortinet reported 14% year-over-year revenue growth in Q1 2025[2], with its security operations business ARR growing at 30.3%[3]. The company achieved 22% revenue growth in 2024[1] and has a 3-year average revenue growth of 20.1%[5]. Projections indicate 12.6% sales growth for the next year[5].

Given Fortinet's position in a $200 billion market[5], consistent revenue growth track record, and successful transition to recurring revenue models, the company appears well-positioned for sustained growth over the next 5+ years.


Economic Moat Factors

Fortinet possesses a robust economic moat primarily driven by high switching costs and network effects. Customers face significant barriers to changing vendors due to Fortinet's deep integration across IT infrastructure and the retraining requirements for staff[1][3]. The company benefits from powerful network effects as its AI-powered security solutions analyze data from existing customers to improve threat detection capabilities, creating a reinforcing loop that attracts more clients[1][2]. Fortinet's economic moat is further strengthened by its valuable intellectual property, strong brand identity in cybersecurity, and consistent innovation[4][5]. The company's in-house manufacturing and R&D focus enable cost-efficient production and competitive pricing[5]. This sustainable competitive advantage is reflected in Fortinet's high Gross Margin and ROIC, which saw significant improvement after 2018[1]. GuruFocus assigns Fortinet a Moat Score of 8, indicating a "clear and robust wide moat"[4].


Leadership

Fortinet, Inc.'s leadership includes CEO Ken Xie, who co-founded the company in 2000 and has been CEO since inception[1][4]. Michael Xie serves as President, Chief Technology Officer, and Director[3]. Ken Xie's role as both CEO and founder highlights his long-term commitment to the company. Specific details about Ken Xie's ownership stake are not publicly detailed in the available sources. The company's leadership team also includes John Whittle, Chief Operating Officer, and Landon Scott, who recently took over as Channel Chief[3][5].


Financial Health

Fortinet, Inc. (FTNT) demonstrates robust financial health with $4.78 billion in cash compared to only $994.9 million in debt, creating a very favorable cash-to-debt ratio[3]. The company generated an impressive $783 million in free cash flow for Q1 2025[2], though the exact free cash flow margin isn't specified in the search results. Fortinet achieved a record operating margin of 34.2% in Q1 2025[2]. The company's balance sheet is strong, with short-term assets ($6.4B) exceeding both short-term liabilities ($4.7B) and long-term liabilities ($3.7B)[3]. Information about share dilution or repurchase programs was not available in the search results.

Fair Value Calculation Assumptions

Using a discounted free cash flow model with the following assumptions, the Fair Value estimate for Fortinet, Inc (FTNT) is $101.00.

35.5%Free Cash Flow Margin
10.5%Discount Rate / Required Rate of Return
11.4%Average Annual Revenue Growth (Years 1-5)
-1.0%Average Annual Share Dilution (Years 1-5)
7.8%Average Annual Revenue Growth (Years 6-10)
-2.0%Average Annual Share Dilution (Years 6-10)
6.0%Terminal Growth Rate
$99.69Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flows
$0.98Net "Excess" Cash/Debt Per Share
$101.00Fair Value Estimate (rounded)

Recommendation History

Start End Cost Last Return vs. SPY
2022-11-25$52.91$100.8390.57%42.18%

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