Fortinet (FTNT) Annual Update
Feb 7, 2025
Fortinet has quietly been a very strong performer in our portfolio, a double since being recommended 2 years ago and trouncing the market by nearly 50%. It finished its 2024 fiscal year with a very strong Q4, as revenue grew 17%, gross margins continued to expand (by 350 basis points!), and the firm continues its build out of cloud-based security edge offerings (SASE, +28%) and AI-driven security ops (+32% in annual recurring revenue). Fortinet is one of few companies with a strong offering in both the "new age" SASE/SecOps security model, and the traditional "perimeter security" hardware-based model. The stock continues to be a strong hold but priced a bit above the fair value of $102.
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Watch List
| CRWD | 113.61% |
| NTNX | 44.26% |
| VEEV | 13.93% |
| SNOW | 50.86% |
| WDAY | -9.43% |
| ENLT | -10.81% |
| WEAV | -27.40% |
| SE | 36.62% |
| SPSC | 12.33% |
| RDDT | 14.74% |
| APPF | 13.92% |
| CMG | 39.56% |
| INTU | 44.44% |
| PSTG | 12.28% |
vs. Fair Value Estimates
Buy List
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| SEMR | -40.13% |
| ZETA | -39.20% |
| GOOG | -45.72% |
| ASR | -29.43% |
| HRMY | -55.45% |
| GLBE | -28.96% |
| YOU | -36.62% |
| MELI | -29.05% |
| ADBE | -39.09% |
vs. Fair Value Estimates
Hold List
| PINS | -14.33% |
| ASML | -13.33% |
| VTEX | 3.36% |
| TSM | -24.34% |
| NYAX | -24.98% |
| MSFT | -13.80% |
| ODD | 9.51% |
| FLYW | -16.08% |
| CELH | 32.77% |
| TOST | 38.47% |
| CPNG | 6.04% |
| HIMS | 40.46% |
| PAYC | -6.84% |
| MNDY | 18.12% |
| ZS | 81.90% |
| V | -2.80% |
| ADSK | 5.86% |
| NOW | 19.40% |
| ABNB | -23.85% |
| FTNT | -0.17% |
| TEAM | -15.16% |
vs. Fair Value Estimates