Sep 29, 2023
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc
CMG
Statistics
| $3,111.97 | Share Price |
| $1,614.00 | Fair Value |
| 92.81% | Price vs Fair Value |
| $87.1 B | Market Cap |
| 18.2% | 3yr Avg Revenue Growth |
| 13.5% | Projected Sales Growth Next Year |
| 17.2% | Free Cash Flow ROIC |
 | Rising Revenues |
| Recurring Revenues |
 | Brand Moat |
Stock Research and Updates
Research Article
Updates
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Apr 26, 2024
Fair Value Calculation Assumptions
Using a discounted free cash flow model with the following assumptions, the Fair Value estimate for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc (CMG) is $1,614.00.
| 13.5% | Free Cash Flow Margin |
| 11.0% | Discount Rate / Required Rate of Return |
| 11.9% | Average Annual Revenue Growth (Years 1-5) |
| -1.0% | Average Annual Share Dilution (Years 1-5) |
| 8.2% | Average Annual Revenue Growth (Years 6-10) |
| -1.0% | Average Annual Share Dilution (Years 6-10) |
| 6.0% | Terminal Growth Rate |
| $1,562.21 | Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flows |
| $51.59 | Net "Excess" Cash/Debt Per Share |
| $1,614.00 | Fair Value Estimate (rounded) |
Last updated Apr 24, 2024
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Watch List
| CMG | 92.81% |
| SMAR | -17.22% |
| ENLT | 1.03% |
| SNPS | 61.62% |
| SPT | 42.67% |
| CELH | -11.56% |
| PINS | 41.91% |
| SNOW | 8.93% |
| WDAY | 9.04% |
| GOOG | 33.86% |
| MA | 0.68% |
| MSFT | -11.13% |
vs. Fair Value Estimates
Buy List
| HIMS | -27.82% |
| PAYC | -34.76% |
| HRMY | -51.78% |
| GLBE | -27.09% |
| YOU | -60.91% |
| MELI | -31.26% |
| FTNT | -28.86% |
vs. Fair Value Estimates
Hold List
| TOST | -21.63% |
| CPNG | 9.67% |
| MNDY | 4.63% |
| ZS | 9.94% |
| V | -15.85% |
| ADSK | -23.80% |
| NOW | 2.91% |
| ABNB | -6.85% |
| TEAM | 9.62% |
| ADBE | -20.43% |
| CRWD | 19.69% |
vs. Fair Value Estimates