Flywire’s Growth Slows, Stock Plunges Nearly 40%

Flywire posted solid Q4 and annual results, with revenue up 22% and strong cash flows. Education payments remain its largest segment at 77%, while travel has grown to 13%. However, weak forward guidance of 10-12% growth—well below the 20%+ expected—sent the stock tumbling nearly 50% this year. The slowdown stems from education payment policy changes in Canada and Australia. In response, Flywire is conducting an "operational and business portfolio overview" (essentially tightening expenses) and expanding into travel with its Sertifi acquisition (a hotel property management integrator). While the sell-off seems overdone—our fair value is $15.50—Flywire isn’t a top conviction pick, and we may revisit it for a sell depending on how the year unfolds.

Watch List

CRWD 113.61%
NTNX 44.26%
VEEV 13.93%
SNOW 50.86%
WDAY -9.43%
ENLT -10.81%
WEAV -27.40%
SE 36.62%
SPSC 12.33%
RDDT 14.74%
APPF 13.92%
CMG 39.56%
INTU 44.44%
PSTG 12.28%

Buy List

TBBB -35.38%
SEMR -40.13%
ZETA -39.20%
GOOG -45.72%
ASR -29.43%
HRMY -55.45%
GLBE -28.96%
YOU -36.62%
MELI -29.05%
ADBE -39.09%

Hold List

PINS -14.33%
ASML -13.33%
VTEX 3.36%
TSM -24.34%
NYAX -24.98%
MSFT -13.80%
ODD 9.51%
FLYW -16.08%
CELH 32.77%
TOST 38.47%
CPNG 6.04%
HIMS 40.46%
PAYC -6.84%
MNDY 18.12%
ZS 81.90%
V -2.80%
ADSK 5.86%
NOW 19.40%
ABNB -23.85%
FTNT -0.17%
TEAM -15.16%