NAPCO Security Looks Good, Not Great
Oct 30, 2024
Took a look at NAPCO Security (NSSC). The company makes alarm, access, and security systems, selling mostly to commercial customers (80% of sales). While hardware sales are still the bulk of business, recurring service fees have rapidly risen to 40% of revenues, from just 24% in 2020. Underlying markets are growing at 8-10% annually, a healthy rate, driven largely by a migration to cellular data for connected devices. I think NAPCO is a solid consideration, but a few things prevent an addition to the Watch List. For one, competition is strong, with Honeywell, United Technologies, and Siemens just a few huge competitors. Two, while the company is founder-led, most of the management team is into their 60's and 70's, making near-term transition a likelihood. Take a closer look at NAPCO if you like it, for me it's a mild pass.
Follow @GreenDotStocks
Information contained on this website represents only the opinions of the author and should not be used as the sole basis for investing decisions. By using this site, you agree to all statements in the Site Policy.
Watch List
| APPF | 4.30% |
| CMG | 40.33% |
| PSTG | -1.39% |
| WDAY | -5.41% |
| VEEV | 19.23% |
| INTU | 20.20% |
| RDDT | 16.57% |
| NTNX | 27.22% |
| CRWD | 95.83% |
| SE | 32.72% |
| SNOW | 13.92% |
vs. Fair Value Estimates
Buy List
| PINS | -38.24% |
| SEMR | -33.68% |
| TSM | -40.25% |
| ZETA | -27.44% |
| GOOG | -50.34% |
| NYAX | -30.24% |
| MSFT | -28.00% |
| FLYW | -39.29% |
| HRMY | -59.63% |
| YOU | -39.80% |
| ABNB | -31.51% |
| ADBE | -41.68% |
vs. Fair Value Estimates
Hold List
| ASML | -23.91% |
| VTEX | -13.76% |
| ODD | -6.91% |
| ASR | -24.09% |
| CELH | 39.84% |
| TOST | 18.60% |
| CPNG | -11.81% |
| HIMS | -5.43% |
| PAYC | -18.56% |
| MNDY | 21.64% |
| GLBE | -21.93% |
| ZS | 38.75% |
| V | -4.82% |
| ADSK | 1.57% |
| NOW | 15.34% |
| MELI | -19.68% |
| FTNT | 1.73% |
| TEAM | 0.14% |
vs. Fair Value Estimates