HubSpot, Inc

HUBS
HUBS logo

Statistics

$554.59Share Price
$266.00 Fair Value green dot
108.49% Price vs Fair Value green dot
$27.7 BMarket Cap
35.0%3yr Avg Revenue Growth
15.8%Projected Sales Growth Next Year
15.6%Free Cash Flow ROIC
check markRising Revenues
check markRecurring Revenues
plus signHigh Switching Costs Moat

Stock Research and Updates

Research Article

HubSpot Is A Nice Business, But Is It A Buy? green dot

Updates

Removing Several Stocks From Watch List
Reviewing HubSpot, monday.com, and Global-e
Earnings Updates: HUBS, ABNB, FTNT

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Business Overview / Sources of Revenue

HubSpot, Inc. provides a cloud-based customer relationship management (CRM) platform aimed at helping businesses manage marketing, sales, customer service, website content, operations, and commerce functions. Its core products include Marketing Hub, Sales Hub, Service Hub, Content Hub, Operations Hub, and Commerce Hub, each offering specialized tools for automation, analytics, customer communications, and business process optimization. HubSpot primarily earns revenue through subscription fees for access to its cloud-based platform, supplemented by professional services such as customer training and support. The majority of its revenue comes from subscriptions, with a smaller percentage from services, though specific percentage breakdowns are not given in the search results[3][5][4].


Revenue Growth Potential and Recurrence

HubSpot, Inc. (HUBS) derives a large share of its revenue from recurring sources, with $699 million of its $714 million Q1 2025 revenue (over 97%) coming from subscriptions[3][4][5]. This high proportion of subscription revenue is typical for SaaS companies and underpins revenue stability and predictability.

Looking ahead, HubSpot’s management has guided for 2025 annual revenue between $3.036 billion and $3.044 billion, reflecting a 16% year-over-year growth rate[4]. While recent annual growth is robust, long-term revenue growth potential will depend on continued customer acquisition (customers grew 19% year-over-year in Q1 2025[1]), product innovation—especially AI initiatives—and broader adoption among scaling companies. Most analysts expect mid-teens revenue CAGR over the next several years, driven by expanding customer count and increases in average subscription revenue per customer[1][4][5].


Economic Moat Factors

HubSpot, Inc. possesses a notable economic moat, primarily driven by strong switching costs and moderate network effects. Its platform integrates deeply into customers’ operations, making migrations disruptive and costly, which translates to high retention and pricing power[1]. The company’s App Marketplace, featuring over 1,400 integrations, creates additional stickiness and a reinforcing network effect, though this is most effective within the B2B mid-market segment[1]. Brand recognition and consistent innovation further bolster its competitive position[1][5]. HubSpot is generally regarded as having a narrow-to-wide moat, with some sources rating its moat as "entry-level wide" due to these durable advantages[3][5]. Overall, the combination of switching costs, network effects, and brand power underpin a sustainable, if not unassailable, moat for HubSpot in the CRM sector[1][5].


Leadership

HubSpot, Inc.’s CEO is Yamini Rangan, who is not a founder. She became CEO in 2021 after serving as the company’s first Chief Customer Officer, succeeding co-founder Brian Halligan. Rangan is a tech industry veteran with more than 24 years of experience. The founders, such as Dharmesh Shah (CTO) and Brian Halligan (now former CEO and board member), remain part of the leadership and board. Rangan’s individual ownership stake is not specifically detailed in public sources; founders like Shah historically hold larger equity positions[1][2][3][4].


Financial Health

HubSpot, Inc. (HUBS) maintains a strong financial position, with $2.04 billion in cash against $368.9 million in debt, resulting in net cash of $1.67 billion and a conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 18.4%[1][3]. The company generates free cash flow, supported by robust operations, and posted a healthy Q1 2025 net income of $96 million and gross margins of 85%[5]. HubSpot’s liquid assets exceed total liabilities by $445.6 million, indicating a healthy balance sheet[3]. The company has not been a net repurchaser of shares and has used some share issuance in recent years[1][3].

Fair Value Calculation Assumptions

Using a discounted free cash flow model with the following assumptions, the Fair Value estimate for HubSpot, Inc (HUBS) is $266.00.

21.5%Free Cash Flow Margin
11.2%Discount Rate / Required Rate of Return
14.2%Average Annual Revenue Growth (Years 1-5)
2.8%Average Annual Share Dilution (Years 1-5)
8.8%Average Annual Revenue Growth (Years 6-10)
1.0%Average Annual Share Dilution (Years 6-10)
6.0%Terminal Growth Rate
$250.82Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flows
$15.59Net "Excess" Cash/Debt Per Share
$266.00Fair Value Estimate (rounded)

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